prasad1
Active member
One perspective.
'When will we able to step out of our homes? When will this dreaded coronavirus pandemic end' are the questions that most of us are asking one another.
And researchers in Singapore have risked answering this question.
On the basis of the pattern of spread of Covid-19 from China to the rest of the world and slowing down, the researchers in Singapore have a predicted date for 131 countries each when novel coronavirus outbreak will end there (please click here for their detailed study).
Based on the latest Singapore University of Technology and Design Data-Driven Innovation Lab, India should see a 97 per cent free from Covid-19 infection by around May 21. Keep in mind that this prediction is a data-driven estimation of end dates (as of April 24, 2020).
This is close to what the Indian Council for Medical Research hinted last week. ICMR director Dr Balram Bhargava had said, "One can say we have been able to flatten the curve."
Similarly, last Friday, VK Paul, NITI Aayog member and head of a key government empowered committee on medical management, presented a study in which he predicted that new cases would cease by May 16.
As per his study, from May 3, India would hit its peak in adding daily new cases at a little above 1,500 and this would drop to 1,000 cases by May 12, and down to zero by May 16. In all, this would mean that no more than 35,000 cases would be added between Saturday and the first fortnight of May.
'When will we able to step out of our homes? When will this dreaded coronavirus pandemic end' are the questions that most of us are asking one another.
And researchers in Singapore have risked answering this question.
On the basis of the pattern of spread of Covid-19 from China to the rest of the world and slowing down, the researchers in Singapore have a predicted date for 131 countries each when novel coronavirus outbreak will end there (please click here for their detailed study).
Based on the latest Singapore University of Technology and Design Data-Driven Innovation Lab, India should see a 97 per cent free from Covid-19 infection by around May 21. Keep in mind that this prediction is a data-driven estimation of end dates (as of April 24, 2020).
This is close to what the Indian Council for Medical Research hinted last week. ICMR director Dr Balram Bhargava had said, "One can say we have been able to flatten the curve."
Similarly, last Friday, VK Paul, NITI Aayog member and head of a key government empowered committee on medical management, presented a study in which he predicted that new cases would cease by May 16.
As per his study, from May 3, India would hit its peak in adding daily new cases at a little above 1,500 and this would drop to 1,000 cases by May 12, and down to zero by May 16. In all, this would mean that no more than 35,000 cases would be added between Saturday and the first fortnight of May.
When will COVID-19 end in India? Here's the answer
According to a study done by Singapore University of Technology and Design Data, coronavirus will 100 per cent end across the world on December 8.
www.rediff.com
